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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +18 (86-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 39 5-18 2-10 0-0 4 6 0 1 1 12 4 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 35 9-24 0-0 6-10 9 1 0 0 3 24 7 -8.0
F. Loyer 27 0-6 0-3 5-6 2 3 0 0 1 5 3 -9.5
G. Harris 21 3-5 1-3 4-4 4 0 3 0 0 11 13 -5.1
C. Furst 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 9 +0.2
C.J. Cox 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
M. Colvin 18 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 7 -11.7
C. Heide 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -4.3
W. Berg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4
R. Burgess 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wolf 35 7-10 2-4 2-3 11 6 0 1 2 18 24 +11.0
T. Donaldson 35 5-11 3-8 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 13 12 +8.8
V. Goldin 25 5-11 0-1 5-7 8 1 0 2 0 15 15 +12.3
N. Burnett 24 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 7 7 +0.8
L.J. Cason 22 2-8 0-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 6 5 +10.2
R. Gayle Jr. 20 3-5 0-1 5-6 4 2 1 0 0 11 13 +9.8
W. Tschetter 19 3-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 +4.5
R. Jones 18 2-2 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 11 +2.9
H. Hochberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
P. Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
I. Burns 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter