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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe 36 4-13 0-3 3-4 7 5 2 1 2 11 11 -8.9
J. Celestine 35 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 2 4 -9.6
N. Omier 32 12-18 0-0 5-6 15 1 1 2 1 29 29 -6.7
J. Nunn 31 3-8 2-6 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 10 8 -2.7
J. Roach 28 2-6 1-3 4-5 1 0 1 0 0 9 5 -7.4
R. Wright III 25 4-9 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 0 -8.1
M. Dubravcic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2.0
J. Asemota 5 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 -0.0

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hawkins 37 3-6 3-6 3-4 5 11 1 0 3 12 20 +10.3
Dar. Williams 33 5-13 4-6 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 14 9 +9.7
JT Toppin 32 10-19 2-3 4-5 10 1 0 3 2 26 19 +10.1
C. Anderson 29 2-5 2-5 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Overton 24 0-7 0-2 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 4 3 +3.2
K. Walton 23 4-9 4-9 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 12 7 +10.7
C. McMillian 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 +7.5
F. Federiko 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.1

* = starter