Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shepard | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Carleton | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 25 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. McBride | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Smith | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 16 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Kosu | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| A. Boston | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| L. Hull | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 26 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Powers | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Peddy | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Timpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter