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2024-11-28

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Rhode Island Rams Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Rhode Island Rams +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wells * 36 6-16 4-10 2-2 9 2 2 0 4 18 11 -5.1
D. Burford * 30 5-13 0-2 1-2 5 5 1 0 2 11 7 -2.1
B. Robinson * 30 3-9 2-5 5-5 0 3 0 0 2 13 5 -8.8
R. Seamster * 25 5-7 1-2 2-5 4 0 3 0 2 13 11 -0.4
L. Ware * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +3.0
J. Ellingsworth 23 3-9 0-3 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 6 6 -10.9
T. Hupstead 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 2 +1.1
K. Douglas 13 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 +4.2
B. Talbot 11 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +3.1

Rhode Island Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawrence * 35 5-9 3-6 5-8 5 7 1 0 2 18 20 +4.7
S. Thomas * 31 8-12 0-1 2-5 3 4 3 0 4 18 12 +9.9
J. Brown * 26 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 3 1 9 12 -
D. Green * 22 5-10 3-6 2-2 3 2 0 1 2 15 9 +8.0
T. Farrell * 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 -1.0
J. House 31 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 7 5 +4.9
D. Traore 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 5 9 -2.2
C. Estevez 14 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -4.0
D. Fuchs 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 +5.0

* = starter