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2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Foster * 29 4-9 1-2 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 10 7 -22.2
Z. Freemantle * 29 7-16 0-5 0-0 10 1 0 0 3 14 6 -20.6
R. Conwell * 29 6-13 5-9 2-2 4 0 1 0 3 19 8 -22.5
D. McKnight * 27 1-8 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 3 2 -15.2
D. Swain * 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 -18.0
J. Hunter 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -3.4
J. Hugley IV 16 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 4 2 2 +3.4
D. Maddox Jr. 14 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -12.0
T. Green 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -9.8

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wolf * 29 8-12 4-5 0-2 14 3 2 1 3 20 25 +30.5
N. Burnett * 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 5 8 +28.2
T. Donaldson * 24 5-11 2-4 1-4 3 3 1 0 1 13 8 +27.9
R. Gayle Jr. * 22 2-9 1-2 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 6 -1 +6.2
V. Goldin * 20 7-9 1-1 3-4 5 0 0 2 1 18 15 +7.4
R. Jones 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 +17.0
W. Tschetter 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 4 9 +19.6
L.J. Cason 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 8 8 -2.1
S. Walters 11 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.9
P. Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
J. Pippen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter