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2024-11-28

Model Predictions

Model West Virginia Mountaineers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Small * 43 10-19 4-9 2-3 7 7 4 0 4 26 21 -6.5
T. Okani * 36 6-9 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 1 2 12 7 -8.7
A. Hansberry * 34 5-11 2-7 7-8 5 1 0 1 2 19 13 +1.2
T. DeVries * 32 3-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 8 5 -4.7
S. Harris * 27 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 -2 +3.7
J. Powell 29 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -10.8
E. Andre 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -15.6
KJ Tenner 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.9
J. Yesufu 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 +3.2

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hepburn * 38 8-12 2-5 14-17 3 2 6 0 2 32 29 +16.1
T. Edwards * 36 4-9 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 10 7 +17.3
K. Pryor * 35 4-11 1-5 4-4 8 2 1 3 3 13 13 +11.1
J. Hadley * 29 2-5 0-1 2-3 5 3 0 0 1 6 8 +14.1
N. Waterman * 26 1-7 0-6 0-1 5 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -3.4
R. Smith 38 5-12 4-10 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 15 5 +15.0
J. Scott 15 0-1 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 1 1 1 4 -3.3
K. Rooths 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -2.0

* = starter