Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abee | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | -9.5 |
| T. Solomon | 30 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -6.3 |
| J. Banks | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -14.3 |
| J. Marsh | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | -1.1 |
| K. Taylor | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -3.8 |
| G. Gantt Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4.1 |
| J. Davis | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -5.9 |
| C. Dubsky | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.8 |
| J. Thompson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| S. Tolentino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| J. Clarke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garland | 37 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +10.4 |
| K. Luc | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +10.1 |
| M. Christmas | 33 | 9-19 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | +10.6 |
| A. Brizzi | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.6 |
| E. Tucker | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +5.4 |
| J. Benard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +4.8 |
| KJ McClurg | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.1 |
| J. Nziemi | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +11.1 |
| DJ Jefferson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| T. Hicks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11.9 |
* = starter