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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Upstate Spartans Winthrop Eagles Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% -
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% -
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 15.3% 84.7% -
Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: Winthrop Eagles +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Adkins 34 4-12 2-6 4-5 2 2 0 0 1 14 5 -14.0
K. Gregory 28 3-8 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 8 6 -17.5
B. Harris 24 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 9 6 -13.9
N. Book 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 2 6 -18.8
M. Dean 21 7-12 0-0 3-3 1 0 3 0 3 17 6 -3.2
I. Skinner 19 2-7 2-5 5-5 2 1 1 0 0 11 8 +12.1
A. McConnell 18 4-8 3-6 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 11 6 -4.3
C. Johnson 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3.4
B. Garcia 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 4 -4.8
D. Helterhoff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1.9
CJ Rich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Talford 31 9-11 0-0 7-11 12 0 1 0 4 25 23 +16.1
K.J. Doucet 30 8-11 1-2 5-5 11 2 2 0 2 22 24 +10.7
N. Johnson 29 5-8 1-2 5-7 3 0 0 0 2 16 9 +20.6
P. Jones III 27 5-8 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 7 +24.0
K. Harrison 25 6-10 2-4 0-0 0 7 2 0 0 14 13 +18.7
R. Jolly 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 +12.3
I. Wilson 14 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 3 1 -2.0
B. Baker 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -7.7
T. Hamilton 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 1 6 -11.6
T. Kamarad 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.2
Y. Diallo 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter