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Little Rock Trojans 67
@
Arkansas Razorbacks 79
2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% - ✓
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.8 ✓ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 9.7% 90.3% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawson * 40 5-14 2-8 3-3 12 5 2 1 3 15 18 -6.6
M. Wilkinson * 37 5-14 2-8 6-6 5 1 2 0 2 18 10 -6.4
A. Beljan * 31 2-6 0-0 6-10 4 2 1 0 2 10 9 -7.2
I. Lewis * 30 5-14 2-5 1-2 6 1 2 0 6 13 2 -6.4
T. Gatkek * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.9
C. Hughes 30 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
J. Jefferson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +5.6
C. Pennyfeather 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -2.4
K. Popov 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner * 38 4-10 3-6 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 11 7 +8.5
B. Fland * 38 6-11 3-5 6-7 4 7 3 0 4 21 20 +7.2
J. Davis * 31 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 2 2 +17.0
A. Thiero * 29 7-9 0-1 9-10 8 0 6 2 5 23 25 +12.1
Z. Ivisic * 25 3-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 2 3 10 8 +16.7
B. Richmond III 20 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 6 11 -5.1
K. Knox 19 2-11 0-6 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 6 -2 -12.9

* = starter