Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +12 (59-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Page * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -9.1 |
| J. Williamson * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | -12.1 |
| O. Adelodun * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -13.2 |
| J. Smith * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Martinez * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +0.3 |
| Z. Russell | 23 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -13.5 |
| J. Marshall | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -4.4 |
| W. Shortt | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13.4 |
| D. McKnight | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Butler * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4.7 |
| J. Vander Baan * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +14.2 |
| D. Hines * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +12.6 |
| R. Pettit * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.5 |
| A. Phillips * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +7.5 |
| M. Rasul | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +16.5 |
| C. Williams | 20 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.0 |
| A. Chaikin | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +15.6 |
| L. Savicevic | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.6 |
| TJ Berger | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
* = starter