Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Robinson | 39 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | -2.0 |
| Z. Collins | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -3.0 |
| E. Price | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -2.3 |
| J. Weaver | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -1.8 |
| J. Tremble | 22 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | +16.7 |
| A. Crawford | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -15.7 |
| M. Seck | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| B. Amuneke | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas Jr. | 38 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | +4.8 |
| J. Rishwain | 33 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| J. Henley | 28 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -0.5 |
| J. Hill | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +3.8 |
| J. Cherry | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3.1 |
| P. N'Diaye | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -0.4 |
| B. Hicks | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +12.0 |
| J. Bedford | 15 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +1.6 |
* = starter