Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Blanton * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | -10.7 |
| J. Crawford * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +1.4 |
| G. Kimble III * | 30 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -7.9 |
| M. Wol * | 22 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Y. Paul * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | +0.6 |
| T. Buttry | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -5.5 |
| M. Myrick | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -1.3 |
| T. Andrews | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.2 |
| J. Holt | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.4 |
| C. Martynov | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.2 |
| DJ Nussbaum | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rigsby * | 33 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +7.9 |
| T. Conerway * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +7.5 |
| T. Dowd * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| M. Rigsby Jr. * | 19 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -8.9 |
| J. Fields * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Coo. Campbell | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +15.2 |
| V. Valdes | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +10.2 |
| J. Bellamy | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +8.5 |
| K. Kiel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.6 |
| R. Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter