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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 74.1% 25.9% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -
Points Off/Def 64.5% 35.5% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roberts 38 4-8 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 0 5 11 9 +13.9
L.J. Cryer 36 6-12 6-9 5-6 2 0 1 1 0 23 15 +8.1
M. Uzan 31 5-13 1-6 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 2 +7.6
E. Sharp 31 3-8 1-4 4-5 5 1 0 0 1 11 8 +5.6
J. Tugler 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 2 7 +5.4
M. Wilson 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 2 7 +5.3
J. Francis 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 +3.5
T. Arceneaux 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.4

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Omier 38 5-9 1-3 2-4 16 1 0 1 3 13 19 -6.0
VJ Edgecombe 38 6-14 2-6 9-10 5 2 3 1 4 23 16 -5.8
J. Nunn 32 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 4 4 -6.8
R. Wright III 29 1-9 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 -1 -5.2
L. Love 26 3-8 3-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 10 7 -6.9
J. Celestine 23 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 +0.8
J. Roach 12 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -4 -1.1
M. Dubravcic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.8

* = starter