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2025-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Awaka 32 6-9 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 0 1 14 16 +16.3
J. Bradley 31 4-9 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 8 5 +13.1
H. Veesaar 30 4-6 1-1 4-6 5 4 2 1 0 13 19 +9.1
C. Love 28 5-14 1-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 13 -1 -3.3
C. Bryant 26 2-4 1-2 2-2 6 6 0 0 2 7 13 +2.5
A. Dell'Orso 24 5-9 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 6 +9.9
KJ Lewis 17 1-4 0-1 4-6 4 3 1 0 3 6 7 +0.3
T. Townsend 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 -6.8

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Omier 37 6-8 0-0 3-4 11 1 2 1 2 15 20 -2.4
VJ Edgecombe 34 6-13 1-6 11-14 4 2 0 0 3 24 14 -4.6
L. Love 33 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 9 3 -13.6
J. Celestine 28 1-5 0-3 1-2 5 2 2 0 0 3 7 +2.9
R. Wright III 26 0-6 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 0 -4 -0.9
J. Roach 22 2-9 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 -1 +1.0
J. Nunn 20 3-4 2-3 2-3 3 0 2 0 0 10 11 -5.3

* = starter