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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wright III 39 5-13 1-3 4-6 4 3 1 0 2 15 8 +3.9
J. Roach 38 3-11 2-4 4-4 7 2 0 0 1 12 9 +2.3
N. Omier 35 5-16 0-3 6-8 12 1 1 1 3 16 12 +4.4
J. Nunn 33 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -1.4
J. Ojianwuna 29 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 2 10 10 -1.0
J. Celestine 23 0-4 0-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 0 1 +1.0
J. Asemota 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -5.0

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McMillian 38 7-18 5-11 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 19 5 +2.3
E. Hawkins 35 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 7 0 0 1 13 12 +0.9
Dar. Williams 31 5-14 1-3 6-6 8 1 0 0 2 17 10 -4.1
F. Federiko 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 8 9 +5.3
JT Toppin 21 4-8 0-1 0-0 8 3 1 1 1 8 12 -3.5
C. Anderson 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 3 6 -
K. Overton 16 1-4 0-1 0-1 7 0 0 0 1 2 4 +8.2
K. Walton 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -4.8

* = starter