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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 72.6% 27.4% -
Margin 84.2% 15.8% -9.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Log Adjusted 89.5% 10.5% -
Points Off/Def 68.8% 31.2% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Zackery 38 5-10 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 1 2 12 7 +8.4
I. Schieffelin 33 8-11 0-1 5-5 13 1 1 1 1 21 25 +7.3
C. Hunter 30 3-9 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 0 -1.6
V. Lakhin 29 5-11 0-1 4-6 8 5 1 0 2 14 15 +9.3
D. Hunter 21 1-2 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 0 1 7 7 -2.2
D. Jones 20 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 7 +16.1
C. Wiggins 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -4.4
J. Heidbreder 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 +4.1

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely 39 5-13 4-9 2-2 3 0 0 2 3 16 5 -1.5
A. Rohde 32 5-9 1-2 1-2 3 5 0 2 2 12 11 -2.2
D. Ames 28 5-10 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 12 2 -1.7
E. Saunders 24 3-6 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 9 11 -3.7
T. Murray 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -2.4
B. Buchanan 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 2 1 4 8 -8.4
J. Cofie 16 0-4 0-0 0-2 5 2 2 1 0 0 6 -2.3
A. Robinson 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 3 -2.1
I. Sharma 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6
B. Walker 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.1

* = starter