Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stojakovic | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | -10.5 |
| DJ Campbell | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -10.6 |
| J. Wilkinson | 29 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | -10.5 |
| R. Petraitis | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -7.1 |
| J. Blacksher Jr. | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| L. Dort | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6.3 |
| M. Sissoko | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.3 |
| S. Mahoney | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.2 |
| C. Tucker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Austin | 38 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +12.6 |
| B. Cummings | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +10.5 |
| J. Lowe | 37 | 9-23 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 10 | +13.6 |
| C. Corhen | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | -0.1 |
| G. Diaz Graham | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -5.8 |
| A. Delalic | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Diaz Graham | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.5 |
| P. Amadou Kante | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +0.7 |
* = starter