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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% -
Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 8.7% 91.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Shrewsberry 38 5-8 3-4 1-4 3 4 0 0 2 14 11 +10.3
M. Allocco 37 2-7 2-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 8 7 +11.8
M. Burton 34 8-17 4-6 3-4 5 2 0 1 4 23 10 +12.5
T. Davis 32 4-11 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 5 -2.5
J.R. Konieczny 19 2-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 +14.1
K. Njie 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 7 +10.8
S. Mohammed 15 4-7 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 11 7 -2.3
J. Roper II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 +1.0
G. Sundra 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Flagg 36 11-14 4-6 16-17 6 7 1 0 3 42 39 -3.7
K. Knueppel 34 3-8 2-7 5-6 3 5 0 0 2 13 11 -6.5
K. Maluach 32 6-7 0-0 7-8 10 0 0 1 1 19 22 -11.5
S. James 30 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 4 5 -7.7
T. Proctor 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -10.4
M. Gillis 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 7 +0.9
C. Foster 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +3.8
I. Evans 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.2
P. Ngongba II 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.9

* = starter