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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
KenPom Style 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +34 (72-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Williams 31 3-6 1-2 1-3 1 3 2 2 8 6
I. Krimili 31 1-7 -3 - 3 3 6 2 -5
L. Twidale 30 1-5 1-4 - 3 1 1 4 3 -1
M. Suarez 30 1-5 -2 2-2 7 2 7 4 1
Z. King 19 1-4 -1 1-3 2 1 2 3 0
U. Onyiah 17 3-8 - - 6 2 1 4 6 3
N. Ackerman 12 3-4 - - 2 1 2 2 6 5
J. Noble 11 - - - 1 2 -1
G. Abigor 10 2-4 - - 1 1 4 0
A. Drosouni 9 1-2 - - 2 0

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Jackson 28 6-15 4-11 - 2 16 3
T. Mair 27 -3 -1 -2 2 5 4 1 7
R. Richardson 26 6-12 1-2 1-1 2 2 4 14 2
J. Donovan 25 1-2 - - 6 2 4 2 2 10
T. Fournier 23 7-10 -1 9-10 11 1 2 2 23 25
O. Okananwa 22 2-7 -4 2-4 4 1 3 1 6 6
D. Thomas 17 3-4 - - 3 3 1 2 6 7
J. Wood 13 1-5 1-2 - 5 1 1 3 3
V. de Jesus 10 1-2 - - 1 3 1 1 2 4
E. Koabel 5 -1 - - 1 0
L. Battiston 2 - - - 1 1
J. Cotton 2 -1 - - -1

* = starter