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2025-02-06

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
ELO 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
KenPom Style 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
I. Krimili 39 3-10 2-7 4-5 3 3 2 6 12 4
U. Onyiah 34 7-10 - 1-2 11 2 1 2 3 15 18
K. Williams 33 4-8 1-4 1-5 5 4 2 6 10 7
M. Suarez 26 4-13 1-6 2-3 6 2 2 11 4
L. Twidale 25 3-12 1-10 4-5 1 1 5 11 -4
J. Noble 15 - - - 2 2
G. Maul 13 1-1 1-1 1-2 5 2 1 4 11
L. Donez 6 - - - 1 1
A. Drosouni 6 - - - 1 1
G. Abigor 3 - - - 0

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
O. Cochran 36 8-14 - 2-2 9 1 1 3 18 12
J. Curry 35 3-11 -3 2-2 4 3 4 3 8 5
T. Roberts 34 3-8 - - 3 2 2 1 6 4
J. Williams 28 4-9 - 3-4 2 2 2 11 4
M. Randolph 17 2-4 - - 4 1 1 1 4 5
N. Harris 16 1-4 - -2 5 2 3
I. Arenas 15 2-5 1-2 2-4 1 1 1 2 7 3
I. Berry 9 4-5 2-3 4-6 3 1 14 13
M. Russell 5 -1 -1 - 2 1
E. Istanbulluoglu 5 -1 - - 1 1 -1

* = starter