Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (53-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Richardson | 39 | 2-16 | 1-5 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | |
| T. Mair | 34 | 2-8 | -3 | - | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |
| J. Donovan | 33 | 2-8 | - | 3-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| A. Jackson | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
| D. Thomas | 28 | 3-9 | - | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | ||
| O. Okananwa | 21 | 1-5 | -2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | ||
| T. Fournier | 19 | -8 | -1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| J. Wood | 9 | 1-2 | -1 | - | 2 | 2 | -2 | ||||
| E. Koabel | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | |||||
| V. de Jesus | 6 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kelly | 40 | 3-8 | -1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | ||
| A. Ustby | 40 | 4-11 | - | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
| L. Donarski | 35 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| I. Nivar | 29 | 3-12 | 1-3 | - | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | |
| B. Thomas | 24 | 2-5 | - | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | |
| L. Grant | 20 | 1-3 | -1 | 7-7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | |||
| M. Gakdeng | 17 | 2-7 | - | - | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |
| T. Crisp | 11 | - | - | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||
| C. Toomey | 6 | 1-1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | ||||
| G. Townsend | 3 | - | - | - | 0 |
* = starter