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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% -
Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Belmont Bruins +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dibba 36 13-23 5-8 2-4 9 1 3 0 3 33 20 +1.3
D. Steffe 34 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 5 6 +4.9
K. Davis Jr. 33 5-14 3-9 0-0 3 5 4 0 1 13 10 +3.5
D. Mayo Jr. 24 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 3 +0.9
S. Sharp 23 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 3 5 +12.0
J. Hensley 22 5-7 0-2 1-1 2 4 1 1 1 11 11 -3.1
R. Aligbe 16 3-3 1-1 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 9 9 -8.8
D. Sykes 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 -5.0
A. Massey 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Walker 36 2-4 1-2 4-4 7 3 1 0 2 9 14 -2.9
J. Pierre 32 9-13 3-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 21 12 -1.1
C. Whitt 32 3-7 1-3 5-6 4 6 0 0 2 12 13 -3.7
B. Rogers 29 7-12 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 1 2 17 16 -0.1
T. Lundblade 27 4-8 3-7 3-3 2 1 0 0 2 14 7 -8.3
A. Noyes 23 5-7 1-2 2-3 2 0 2 0 0 13 10 +4.8
B. Peebles 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 0 +11.0
W. Miller 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.4

* = starter