Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 46 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -2.6 |
| K. Sepp | 45 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 24 | -1.2 |
| T. Schmidt | 40 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | +2.3 |
| C. Schwieger | 35 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| D. DeAveiro | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.8 |
| A. Wright | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.7 |
| I. Shaw | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.5 |
| J. McNair | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.5 |
| C. Schwieger | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Ellis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -7.3 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 44 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Z. Montgomery | 42 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +5.7 |
| D. Deen | 41 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +4.1 |
| A. Atlason | 38 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -3.5 |
| D. Hannah | 25 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -4.4 |
| C. Thomas | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +0.1 |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +8.2 |
| C. Dillon | 13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -4.3 |
| A. Jonovic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.5 |
| D. Burch | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
* = starter