Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -6 (60-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mascari | 40 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +4.9 |
| B. Stirtz | 40 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | +2.8 |
| D. Abreu | 38 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4.2 |
| C. Manyawu | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | +1.0 |
| T. Banks | 21 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -0.2 |
| N. Ferguson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1.4 |
| I. Jackson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.2 |
| I. Howard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.7 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wright | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -3.1 |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | -2.8 |
| I. Shaw | 28 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +1.7 |
| C. Schwieger | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| T. Schmidt | 23 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +8.9 |
| D. DeAveiro | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| K. Sepp | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -6.8 |
| J. McNair | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.4 |
| D. Ellis | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -4.7 |
* = starter