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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Uduje 35 5-12 2-5 6-6 4 1 0 1 1 18 11 +3.3
W. McClendon 34 6-13 1-5 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 15 7 +1.0
S. Hall 31 1-7 1-4 0-0 10 3 0 0 1 3 8 -2.5
D. Yap 31 3-11 2-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 10 2 +8.6
R. Vaihola 27 4-7 0-0 5-6 8 3 1 1 3 13 16 +3.8
S. NgaNga 18 4-6 2-2 1-1 11 1 0 0 1 11 16 +3.4
J. Washington 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -1.5
L. Davis 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.2
C. Marial 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas Jr. 34 5-11 0-0 7-9 0 6 2 0 1 17 13 +0.8
J. Rishwain 31 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 5 4 -7.7
J. Henley 31 5-11 1-1 2-2 5 6 2 1 2 13 14 -1.0
J. Hill 30 4-10 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 0 10 6 +1.9
J. Cherry 28 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 2 0 6 11 -9.7
J. Bedford 18 5-11 3-5 3-5 3 0 1 0 1 16 8 +10.1
B. Hicks 16 3-3 1-1 1-1 1 0 2 0 0 8 8 +4.5
P. N'Diaye 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 4 9 +4.3

* = starter