Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lelevicius * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -0.9 |
| M. Rataj * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 8 | -1.3 |
| D. Minor * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| N. Kingz * | 29 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.1 |
| P. Fallah * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.8 |
| J. Lake | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -6.4 |
| M. Marsh | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.2 |
| I. Sy | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -8.7 |
| D. Craig | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.7 |
| M. Logue | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.2 |
| J. Williford | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.2 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Walker * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +0.8 |
| A. Wright * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -12.4 |
| J. Floyd * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| G. Newell * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.5 |
| M. Sissoko * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.1 |
| L. Jossell | 29 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +1.4 |
| J. Massie | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +5.1 |
| B. Lorient | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +9.1 |
* = starter