Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fagbemi * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -1.3 |
| L. Taylor * | 32 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| E. Cato * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1.8 |
| B. Fox * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -8.7 |
| U. Etim * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
| M. Evbagharu | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +9.2 |
| N. Turner | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -3.8 |
| C. McCormick | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3.2 |
| J. West Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.0 |
| D. Seixas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| E. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| R. Myers * | 38 | 6-23 | 4-16 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2 | +1.3 |
| J. Rollins * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.3 |
| T. Sant * | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Carter * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +5.6 |
| M. Maletic | 15 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -4.3 |
| T. Deveaux | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| R. Payne | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| K. Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter