🐻⬇️🏀

App State Mountaineers 61
@
UNC Wilmington Seahawks 76
2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✓ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - ✓

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Tate * 33 3-12 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 9 0 -16.7
CJ Huntley * 31 6-11 0-2 5-8 2 0 0 1 0 17 9 -11.9
J. Threadgill * 31 1-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -9.6
D. Conners * 27 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -16.0
J. Beaubrun * 23 5-9 0-0 6-6 11 0 0 1 2 16 17 -0.6
A. Dodd 16 4-5 1-2 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 11 7 +7.7
L. Wilson 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 3 0 4 11 -9.3
A. Alston 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.8
M. Marcus Jr. 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +2.8
W. Coble 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Ezeagu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.3

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hodge * 35 6-10 2-5 1-2 6 3 0 0 0 15 14 +20.9
S. Moore * 33 2-9 2-5 2-2 8 1 2 0 0 8 10 +11.1
D. Newby * 33 3-14 1-6 9-9 3 6 1 0 0 16 12 +12.4
K. McGriff * 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 10 6 +16.2
G. Williams * 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Bo Montgomery 21 2-6 1-3 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 7 10 +6.3
J. Corbin 21 2-6 2-6 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 8 3 -5.9
H. Obioha 15 5-5 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 1 3 12 11 -2.4

* = starter