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2024-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.2% 40.8% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Ayo-Faleye 35 3-8 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 6 5 +2.2
N. Fiorillo 34 8-11 5-7 2-2 6 0 2 1 2 23 19 +6.3
S. Bogues 34 2-12 0-0 6-10 7 5 1 1 3 10 9 -18.2
TJ Hurley 32 5-11 2-8 7-7 2 1 0 1 2 19 10 -6.7
J. Roquemore 30 0-4 0-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 0 3 -2.1
S. Alamutu 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 2 5 +1.4
S. Joba 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -13.4
S. Blake 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.1

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Louis-Jacques 32 7-13 3-7 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 17 7 +12.2
S. Wright 27 2-7 0-3 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -7.5
P. Jones 26 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 3 4 +4.3
J. Cox 24 6-11 1-4 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 14 8 +7.7
B. Cummins 23 2-6 0-1 7-10 2 0 2 0 1 11 8 -0.3
C. Baker 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 3 0 +20.9
B. Forrest 16 2-3 1-2 1-1 4 4 1 0 0 6 12 +2.8
J. Ahayere 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -2.5
C. Brennan 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +3.4
K. Carlesimo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

* = starter