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2025-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.8 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 18.8% 81.2% -
Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 14.5% 85.5% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Levine 36 1-6 1-3 2-2 8 5 0 0 2 5 10 -2.4
S. Brown 35 9-16 4-8 1-2 2 3 1 1 0 23 14 +14.3
E. Roberts 29 4-11 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 3 +0.5
N. Spinoso 29 4-10 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 2 3 8 9 +1.6
A. Gerhart 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 4 10 -7.3
G. Smith 15 2-5 0-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -13.8
N. Polonowski 15 3-7 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 4 +12.0
M. Oberti 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 6 -0.0
D. Williams 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.2

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mbeng 36 7-15 3-5 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 18 9 +4.6
N. Townsend 33 5-9 0-1 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 11 9 -4.9
C. Simmons 33 5-10 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 11 10 +4.2
J. Poulakidas 30 4-15 0-6 2-3 0 1 1 0 0 10 -3 -1.8
S. Aletan 21 4-4 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 2 0 11 15 +5.2
I. Celiscar 20 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 2 3 0 0 9 14 +2.0
R. Fox 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 +5.8
J. Brathwaite 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -9.7
J. Molloy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -4.5
T. Mullin 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4.2

* = starter