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2024-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Monmouth Hawks Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 18.9% 81.1% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Valencia 36 3-7 1-1 3-4 6 0 0 2 1 10 10 -3.3
J. Collins 34 0-3 0-2 4-7 5 1 0 1 1 4 7 -2.1
C. Robinson Jr. 29 1-4 0-0 3-3 5 0 4 1 1 5 10 -3.4
A. Bashir Jr. 29 8-15 5-10 5-6 3 2 1 0 6 26 11 +0.8
M. Durr 28 3-9 0-0 8-8 2 4 2 0 1 14 12 -3.7
J. Ray 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -1.6
A. Demings 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -0.6
D. Muordar 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ball 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +3.2

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Lee 37 5-13 3-8 10-13 6 6 3 1 2 23 24 +3.3
C. Pierce 36 3-5 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 6 6 +3.4
D. Davis 32 4-11 2-8 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 11 2 +2.2
B. Peters 30 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 14 9 +6.8
P. Byriel 21 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 5 4 +0.5
M. Abdullahi 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 5 +1.7
P. Seals 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 +5.2
J. Huggins 8 0-0 0-0 3-6 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -5.4
J. Hicke 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -2.2
CJ Happy 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.1

* = starter