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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% -
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: Vermont Catamounts -7 (53-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lilly Jr. * 38 8-18 4-8 3-3 1 3 1 1 1 23 10 +9.8
A. Cooley * 36 4-12 2-6 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 11 5 +17.6
L. Lewis * 34 9-13 0-0 1-2 10 2 1 1 0 19 20 +8.8
M. Wrisby-Jefferson * 33 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 4 4 -1.0
L. Erold * 27 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 +9.2
J. Jenkins 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 2 +11.1
N. Dabo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -9.6
S. Klores 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7
J. Barron Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bogues * 35 5-13 1-4 0-0 2 1 3 2 1 11 5 -7.7
TJ Hurley * 30 1-10 0-4 3-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -4.9
J. Roquemore * 29 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 2 3 -7.3
I. Ayo-Faleye * 25 3-4 2-2 1-3 4 0 0 2 0 9 11 -6.2
N. Barnett * 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 10 -7.0
S. Blake 24 6-12 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 13 2 -10.5
S. Alamutu 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -9.3
S. Joba 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 +0.7
G. Perryman 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +9.7

* = starter