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2024-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: American University Eagles +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hinton * 33 7-15 1-1 4-7 6 0 0 0 1 19 9 -12.2
T. Batties II * 32 2-7 1-4 1-3 3 1 0 1 1 6 3 -6.4
C. Pigge * 32 5-7 1-1 0-0 9 4 2 0 2 11 17 -11.2
E. Nelson * 29 6-10 2-4 1-1 0 2 1 0 2 15 6 -13.4
L. Ace-Nasteski * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0
T. Barbour 24 0-4 0-4 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -3.8
B. Eisendrath 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 0 4 -4.4
X. Nesbitt 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 +1.3
D. Dowdell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0
L. Byrne 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Jones * 30 3-6 2-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 11 9 +19.8
G. Sprouse * 30 5-8 4-7 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 15 10 +9.2
M. Rogers * 28 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 6 7 +11.2
C. Smalls * 28 5-7 2-2 4-4 5 3 1 0 1 16 17 +7.9
M. Mayock * 21 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 1 3 5 2 +8.9
E. Stephens 24 3-11 0-1 4-4 2 5 0 0 0 10 6 -1.2
L. Ball 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 6 -2.0
E. Michaels 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -2.0
W. Nausadis 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +5.0
J. Iturbe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter