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2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.9% 54.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bilodeau 30 7-13 0-1 1-1 7 2 1 0 3 15 9 -13.6
D. Andrews 29 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 7 5 -0.4
K. Johnson 28 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 5 0 1 2 5 9 -20.2
E. Dailey Jr. 25 3-6 0-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 2 9 8 -0.6
S. Mack 24 4-4 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 10 10 -15.9
S. Clark 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -10.3
L. Stefanovic 18 2-10 1-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 3 -1.9
T. Perry 12 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 4 6 -11.9
A. Mara 6 2-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -6.0
W. Kyle III 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 +4.2

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 39 8-17 6-10 1-2 3 8 4 0 3 23 18 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 38 11-15 0-0 7-10 3 0 3 1 2 29 19 +18.7
F. Loyer 33 3-6 3-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 11 7 +12.8
C. Heide 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 3 11 +20.4
C.J. Cox 20 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 4 +15.2
M. Colvin 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 +2.7
C. Furst 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -2.2
G. Harris 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.4
R. Burgess 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter