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2025-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 81.1% 18.9% -
Bradley-Terry 71.6% 28.4% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% -
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wolf 33 7-12 0-2 3-5 11 5 1 0 1 17 21 +7.1
N. Burnett 33 3-8 3-7 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 11 10 -4.6
R. Gayle Jr. 30 3-9 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 0 1 9 9 +0.1
T. Donaldson 30 3-10 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 8 -1 -6.0
R. Jones 24 3-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 8 8 -6.6
V. Goldin 24 9-14 0-1 2-2 10 1 0 1 3 20 15 -6.9
W. Tschetter 20 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 2 -0.7
J. Pippen 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +7.7
L.J. Cason 2 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -3.6

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 40 6-12 1-3 4-5 5 6 2 0 0 17 18 +4.5
M. Parrish 36 2-11 1-6 4-6 3 1 0 1 3 9 0 +2.0
J. Mobley Jr. 34 5-14 3-9 3-3 3 2 1 0 2 16 6 +5.7
D. Royal 32 10-16 3-5 3-3 5 1 2 0 2 26 16 +12.1
S. Stewart 26 2-2 0-0 2-6 10 1 1 2 1 6 17 +8.9
A. Bradshaw 11 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 1 1 3 2 +0.0
E. Mahaffey 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -12.1
Q. Glover 10 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 +2.6

* = starter