Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kohler | 30 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 23 | +10.2 |
| T. Holloman | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +15.8 |
| J. Richardson | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +19.5 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -0.3 |
| C. Cooper | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +29.3 |
| J. Akins | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -2 | +18.9 |
| C. Carr | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +6.8 |
| X. Booker | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
| S. Zapala | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.2 |
| F. Fidler | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.2 |
| K. Teng | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.3 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jakucionis | 38 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -14.7 |
| B. Humrichous | 31 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5.4 |
| T. Ivisic | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -8.9 |
| W. Riley | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -18.5 |
| K. Boswell | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.8 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | -19.3 |
| J. Davis | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -4.5 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.3 |
* = starter