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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% -
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wolf 35 7-13 1-3 5-5 9 5 0 1 2 20 20 +9.1
T. Donaldson 33 7-15 2-7 2-3 4 3 2 0 3 18 9 +7.0
R. Jones 32 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 4 +14.2
V. Goldin 28 5-8 0-0 8-9 8 0 0 1 3 18 16 +6.7
R. Gayle Jr. 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -0.4
N. Burnett 24 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 1 -9.9
W. Tschetter 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -5.7
S. Walters 6 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4.0
J. Pippen 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.5

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway 35 3-11 1-6 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 9 -1 +2.1
M. Mgbako 33 5-11 1-4 4-4 11 2 0 0 0 15 17 +5.4
A. Leal 32 4-5 3-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 12 13 +1.8
M. Reneau 30 7-14 0-2 2-3 3 5 0 0 2 16 8 +0.2
L. Goode 27 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 5 6 +0.8
O. Ballo 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 6 5 -6.0
M. Rice 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -3.7
B. Tucker 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 +1.6

* = starter