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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Bamba 37 4-12 1-4 4-5 10 1 2 0 1 13 13 +6.8
J. Shelstad 37 7-17 2-6 2-2 4 4 2 0 3 18 8 +0.2
K. Barthelemy 36 5-13 3-8 2-2 4 6 0 0 1 15 11 +6.0
B. Angel 28 4-9 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 8 7 +1.0
N. Bittle 25 6-8 3-5 1-2 7 2 1 3 2 16 19 +3.4
S. Cook 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
K. Evans Jr. 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.3
J. Tracey 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -1.6
R. Moss 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -8.7
M. Cook 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Donaldson 37 5-14 2-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 12 2 -4.2
D. Wolf 33 5-14 2-4 3-3 12 2 0 2 1 15 16 -2.3
N. Burnett 33 4-9 3-6 2-2 5 1 2 0 3 13 9 +0.3
R. Gayle Jr. 30 1-5 0-2 6-8 4 2 0 0 3 8 6 +2.7
V. Goldin 28 6-7 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 2 1 15 17 +4.2
W. Tschetter 16 6-9 2-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 17 11 +1.5
R. Jones 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 +2.8
S. Walters 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +1.9
J. Pippen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.6

* = starter