Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooper | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3.4 |
| J. Akins | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +0.1 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| T. Holloman | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.6 |
| C. Carr | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -8.0 |
| F. Fidler | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.7 |
| J. Richardson | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -3.7 |
| X. Booker | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| J. Kohler | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +2.5 |
| S. Zapala | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.0 |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark | 34 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +6.9 |
| K. Johnson | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| T. Bilodeau | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +9.4 |
| A. Mara | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
| D. Andrews | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6.9 |
| E. Dailey Jr. | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +1.2 |
| L. Stefanovic | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +8.6 |
| T. Perry | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7.4 |
| S. Mack | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +3.3 |
| W. Kyle III | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
* = starter