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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 4.1% 95.9% -
Bradley-Terry 14.8% 85.2% -
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% -
Points Off/Def 18.3% 81.7% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +22 (73-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Odukale 36 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 2 5 4 6 -15.5
D. Garcia 34 9-16 1-3 2-3 5 1 0 1 1 21 11 -12.3
M. Mitchell Jr. 30 3-10 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 -1 -16.5
I. Asuma 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 8 8 -16.2
P. Fox 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 1 -13.9
L. Patterson 19 3-6 1-3 1-2 0 4 1 0 0 8 7 -8.2
B. Rigsby 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 +1.2
F. Mitchell 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 5 -3.8
T. Edmonds 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -5.0
K. Betts 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Holloman 26 4-10 4-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 12 7 +17.2
J. Richardson 25 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 8 1 1 0 6 12 +19.1
J. Fears Jr. 24 1-4 0-2 3-4 0 6 1 0 1 5 7 +5.4
C. Cooper 21 3-4 0-0 3-6 11 0 0 3 0 9 19 +5.3
X. Booker 19 3-7 0-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 +8.4
J. Akins 19 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 10 4 +20.0
J. Kohler 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 8 11 +4.3
S. Zapala 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 +14.8
C. Carr 16 3-6 0-2 1-1 2 0 3 0 0 7 6 +5.7
F. Fidler 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2.8
G. Normand 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
K. Teng 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 +2.0

* = starter