Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli | 36 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | -10.8 |
| J. Leach | 35 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -6.3 |
| T. Berry | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -6.6 |
| B. Barnhizer | 26 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -9.9 |
| A. Ciaravino | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +6.0 |
| M. Nicholson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5.5 |
| K. Fitzmorris | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +6.1 |
| K.J. Windham | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +8.4 |
| L. Hunger | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.1 |
| J. Mullins | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +7.7 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson Jr. | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | -0.4 |
| K. Jakucionis | 35 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | +12.7 |
| B. Humrichous | 29 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +9.9 |
| K. Boswell | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | -6.2 |
| T. White | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +14.0 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2.5 |
| W. Riley | 17 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -0.4 |
| J. Davis | 16 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -1.4 |
* = starter