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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 38 3-7 3-6 2-2 6 5 2 0 3 11 14 +10.8
D. Royal 36 4-9 0-1 8-10 6 1 0 1 5 16 10 +12.8
M. Parrish 31 8-10 6-8 0-0 7 2 1 0 4 22 18 +9.7
Q. Glover 23 1-5 0-1 2-3 1 3 1 0 1 4 3 +1.4
S. Stewart 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 7 +4.5
J. Mobley Jr. 19 3-6 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 9 2 -4.7
A. Bradshaw 15 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 2 -0.9
E. Mahaffey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.8
C. White 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.8
I. Njegovan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Loyer 39 6-12 0-2 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 15 6 -3.8
T. Kaufman-Renn 38 11-16 0-0 4-7 7 2 1 0 3 26 17 -6.7
B. Smith 30 3-14 1-3 5-6 5 8 1 0 1 12 11 -
C. Furst 25 0-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 0 2 -9.9
C.J. Cox 24 4-6 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 9 3 +9.3
G. Harris 19 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 8 8 +0.7
C. Heide 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 +4.8
M. Colvin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.0
R. Burgess 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 +3.9

* = starter