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2025-01-10

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 39 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 4 1 0 2 7 11 -7.2
T. Bilodeau 35 7-12 0-0 4-6 4 0 1 0 4 18 7 -6.8
E. Dailey Jr. 29 3-9 1-4 1-1 5 1 0 0 2 8 3 -4.4
S. Clark 23 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 3 3 1 -3.6
T. Perry 21 4-11 1-4 1-1 4 3 2 0 1 10 7 -1.3
D. Andrews 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 7 1 -12.0
S. Mack 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -5.0
W. Kyle III 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.0
L. Stefanovic 9 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 +2.1
A. Mara 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.1

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gillespie 35 7-13 4-8 9-9 2 4 4 1 4 27 21 +12.3
J. Reese 32 7-8 0-0 2-3 10 1 3 2 1 16 23 +5.1
D. Queen 32 3-7 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 5 8 2 +16.3
S. Miguel 30 4-9 1-3 2-2 1 3 2 0 0 11 8 +9.2
R. Rice 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 5 +4.0
D. Harris-Smith 16 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 3 3 -1 +8.9
T. Gapare 14 3-4 1-2 1-1 2 0 1 2 1 8 8 +7.0
J. Young 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 +2.2
M. Palmer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.9
J. Geronimo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter