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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 75.1% 24.9% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 36 8-11 4-6 4-4 2 3 2 0 2 24 18 -1.6
N. Bittle 30 7-14 4-8 3-4 8 1 1 3 3 21 17 +0.5
J. Tracey 30 1-5 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 3 3 +7.1
K. Barthelemy 25 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 7 2 -9.9
TJ Bamba 25 3-8 0-1 3-5 1 2 0 0 1 9 3 +6.6
B. Angel 22 1-3 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 2 5 6 -3.7
K. Evans Jr. 14 1-5 0-3 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 3 4 +2.6
S. Cook 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Moss 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -3.6

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 36 8-16 2-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 20 7 +1.6
D. Royal 31 1-7 1-2 1-2 9 3 0 1 4 4 6 +2.6
M. Parrish 31 4-8 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 11 6 +0.9
J. Mobley Jr. 25 5-11 1-5 5-5 1 0 0 0 5 16 1 -1.8
S. Stewart 23 4-5 0-0 6-8 9 1 2 1 1 14 21 +5.1
Q. Glover 17 0-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -3.3
A. Bradshaw 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +0.8
C. White 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 +1.5
E. Mahaffey 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 +2.1

* = starter