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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 68.3% 31.7% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -19 (75-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Burnett 37 5-6 3-4 4-4 4 4 2 0 1 17 20 +20.3
T. Donaldson 33 7-11 6-10 0-2 6 7 2 0 2 20 22 +23.5
V. Goldin 32 13-18 1-2 9-11 7 2 0 1 3 36 25 +9.8
D. Wolf 27 4-7 2-4 2-4 8 6 1 1 7 12 14 +26.5
R. Jones 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 3 7 +7.7
S. Walters 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 2 +2.7
W. Tschetter 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 +17.8
J. Pippen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2.3
L.J. Cason 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.1

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 33 2-3 1-1 7-10 4 3 1 2 1 12 18 -13.1
D. Andrews 32 1-7 0-3 1-2 2 3 3 0 0 3 4 -14.7
T. Bilodeau 32 8-15 1-3 0-1 5 3 1 0 2 17 9 -12.0
L. Stefanovic 27 2-7 0-4 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 4 2 +3.7
E. Dailey Jr. 25 3-9 0-4 7-9 2 1 2 0 1 13 8 -15.7
S. Mack 21 6-13 0-3 5-7 7 0 0 1 1 17 11 -7.4
S. Clark 15 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 5 -14.8
A. Mara 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -5.3
W. Kyle III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
T. Perry 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8

* = starter