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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bilodeau 34 3-11 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 7 4 -2.4
D. Andrews 31 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 10 2 -3.9
S. Clark 28 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 +0.5
S. Mack 25 5-13 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 10 1 +4.5
E. Dailey Jr. 23 7-8 3-4 2-3 5 1 2 0 0 19 19 +3.1
K. Johnson 21 4-7 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 9 -2.5
L. Stefanovic 18 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -2.3
W. Kyle III 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 +1.3
A. Mara 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -7.9
T. Perry 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -4.1

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 35 4-8 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 11 6 +5.0
N. Bittle 34 8-13 2-3 4-5 10 4 3 2 2 22 26 +3.1
J. Tracey 32 4-6 1-3 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 10 11 +4.5
K. Barthelemy 28 5-14 2-5 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 13 4 +5.5
B. Angel 26 3-8 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 9 7 +10.4
K. Evans Jr. 17 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 -5.2
TJ Bamba 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 0 1 +2.8
R. Moss 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Cook 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Phillips 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.1
M. Cook 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter