🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pa. Sandfort 39 6-20 4-10 3-3 4 4 0 0 1 19 6 -
J. Dix 37 7-15 2-5 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 16 9 +5.0
Pr. Sandfort 28 6-10 3-7 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 16 11 -
B. Harding 22 1-6 0-1 3-4 2 4 2 0 2 5 5 -5.8
L. Dembele 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 +11.4
D. Thelwell 19 5-10 0-2 0-1 0 2 1 0 0 10 3 +6.0
O. Freeman 19 6-10 0-1 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 13 7 -1.1
R. Mulvey 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
C. Tadjo 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -2.9
E. Brauns 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Kingsbury 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gayle Jr. 35 7-14 1-5 2-2 4 5 1 0 4 17 9 -5.0
T. Donaldson 33 6-10 2-3 4-5 2 5 0 0 2 18 13 +0.4
V. Goldin 28 6-8 0-0 8-11 11 1 0 1 3 20 22 +0.7
D. Wolf 28 6-9 0-2 1-2 14 1 0 1 4 13 16 +7.6
R. Jones 24 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 1 -7.9
N. Burnett 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 +6.3
W. Tschetter 19 5-6 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 13 11 -4.6
L.J. Cason 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.2
J. Pippen 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -6.1
S. Walters 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0

* = starter