Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pa. Sandfort | 39 | 6-20 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| J. Dix | 37 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Pr. Sandfort | 28 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Harding | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5.8 |
| L. Dembele | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +11.4 |
| D. Thelwell | 19 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +6.0 |
| O. Freeman | 19 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -1.1 |
| R. Mulvey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Tadjo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| E. Brauns | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Kingsbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gayle Jr. | 35 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -5.0 |
| T. Donaldson | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +0.4 |
| V. Goldin | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 22 | +0.7 |
| D. Wolf | 28 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | +7.6 |
| R. Jones | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.9 |
| N. Burnett | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +6.3 |
| W. Tschetter | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -4.6 |
| L.J. Cason | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| J. Pippen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.1 |
| S. Walters | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter