Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boswell | 41 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -9.1 |
| K. Jakucionis | 39 | 7-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 19 | -1.1 |
| B. Humrichous | 39 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -14.2 |
| T. Ivisic | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | -14.4 |
| W. Riley | 30 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -11.7 |
| T. White | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.1 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1.2 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| J. Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Barnhizer | 45 | 7-23 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 7 | +13.6 |
| J. Leach | 43 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +15.1 |
| N. Martinelli | 42 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 17 | +13.2 |
| J. Mullins | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +11.1 |
| M. Nicholson | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | -0.6 |
| T. Berry | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +17.3 |
| L. Hunger | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter