Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -18 (72-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kohler * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | +13.0 |
| T. Holloman * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +12.8 |
| J. Akins * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +23.4 |
| J. Fears Jr. * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +17.4 |
| S. Zapala * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +3.4 |
| J. Richardson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +13.0 |
| X. Booker | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -10.0 |
| F. Fidler | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +6.8 |
| C. Carr | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +9.2 |
| C. Cooper | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.7 |
| K. Teng | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
| G. Normand | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.6 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Garcia * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -12.7 |
| L. Patterson * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -0.4 |
| B. Rigsby * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.9 |
| F. Mitchell * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1.0 |
| F. Odukale * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| I. Asuma | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -14.7 |
| M. Mitchell Jr. | 23 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -19.9 |
| P. Fox | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| T. Edmonds | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.4 |
* = starter