Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simpson | 40 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -4.3 |
| D. Ford | 37 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | -4.3 |
| J. Sibley | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +0.2 |
| B. Felder | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +0.3 |
| L. Abellar | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +6.5 |
| M. Lamin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.8 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| X. Sykes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.9 |
| R. Jeter IV | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| D. Reid | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -2.0 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Miller | 36 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | +0.3 |
| D. Thorn | 34 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +5.4 |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -1.5 |
| K.T. Raimey | 28 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +6.5 |
| C. Davis | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +7.3 |
| K. Agwa | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.3 |
| T. Gankhuyag | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +4.8 |
| J. Washington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| M. Destremau | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| RJ Nance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter